Donald Trump's war on climate science has staggering implications


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Even a policy of "drill, baby, drill" would imply more climate research, not its evisceration, says Ralph Keeling

Donald Trump’s War on Climate Science: Staggering Implications for the Planet and Beyond
In the wake of Donald Trump's triumphant return to the White House in the 2024 election, a renewed assault on climate science has emerged as one of the most alarming facets of his administration's agenda. This "war on climate science," as critics have dubbed it, is not merely rhetorical but a systematic dismantling of institutions, policies, and research that have long underpinned global efforts to combat climate change. The implications are profound, extending far beyond American borders to threaten international stability, economic prosperity, and the very habitability of our planet. As a guest contributor with decades of experience in environmental policy, I argue that this approach risks irreversible damage, demanding urgent scrutiny and resistance from the global community.
Trump's antipathy toward climate science is hardly new. During his first term, he famously withdrew the United States from the Paris Agreement, rolled back over 100 environmental regulations, and appointed industry insiders to key positions in agencies like the Environmental Protection Agency (EPA). Now, in his second term, these efforts have intensified. Within weeks of his inauguration in January 2025, executive orders were issued to slash funding for climate-related research at federal agencies, including NASA, the National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration (NOAA), and the Department of Energy. Reports from insiders suggest that scientific data contradicting the administration's narrative—such as evidence of accelerating sea-level rise or the role of fossil fuels in global warming—are being suppressed or altered. One particularly egregious example involves the censorship of a NOAA report on extreme weather events, where references to human-induced climate change were reportedly redacted before public release.
This hostility stems from a worldview that prioritizes short-term economic gains, particularly in the fossil fuel sector, over long-term environmental sustainability. Trump's allies, including influential figures from the oil and gas industries, have long dismissed climate change as a "hoax" or an overblown threat engineered by political opponents. In speeches and policy documents, the administration frames climate regulations as burdensome "job killers" that stifle American innovation. This rhetoric has emboldened a cadre of climate skeptics to ascend to power. For instance, the appointment of a former coal executive to head the EPA has raised alarms among scientists, who fear a repeat of past purges where experts were sidelined or forced out for advocating evidence-based policies.
The staggering implications of this war begin with the erosion of scientific integrity within the U.S. government. Climate science relies on robust data collection and analysis, much of which is funded and conducted by federal bodies. By defunding programs like the U.S. Global Change Research Program, the administration is effectively blinding the nation—and the world—to emerging threats. Satellite monitoring of ice caps, ocean temperatures, and deforestation could be curtailed, leading to gaps in knowledge that hinder disaster preparedness. Imagine a future where hurricanes like those that devastated the Gulf Coast in recent years strike without adequate forecasting, or where wildfires rage unchecked due to ignored predictive models. These aren't hypotheticals; they are direct consequences of politicizing science.
Economically, the fallout is equally dire. The U.S. economy, already vulnerable to climate impacts, faces amplified risks. According to independent analyses, unchecked climate change could cost the global economy trillions in lost productivity, infrastructure damage, and health expenses. Trump's policies, by prioritizing deregulation, may provide a temporary boost to industries like coal and oil, but they ignore the burgeoning green economy. Renewable energy sectors, which employed millions before his return, are now facing slashed subsidies and regulatory hurdles. This could stifle innovation in solar, wind, and battery technologies, ceding leadership to competitors like China and the European Union. Moreover, as extreme weather events become more frequent—think prolonged droughts in the Midwest or flooding in coastal cities—the insurance industry could collapse under the weight of claims, triggering broader financial instability.
On the international stage, Trump's isolationist stance exacerbates global tensions. The U.S. withdrawal from climate accords during his first term already strained alliances, and a second exit from Paris would further isolate America. Developing nations, which rely on U.S. funding for adaptation projects, would suffer disproportionately. Countries like Bangladesh and small island states in the Pacific, already battling rising seas, could face existential threats without international support. This could fuel geopolitical conflicts over resources, such as water and arable land, potentially leading to mass migrations and humanitarian crises. In a world where climate change acts as a "threat multiplier," amplifying existing instabilities in regions like the Middle East and sub-Saharan Africa, America's retreat from science-based diplomacy weakens collective security. Allies in Europe, who have ramped up their own climate ambitions, may view the U.S. as an unreliable partner, eroding transatlantic ties and emboldening adversaries like Russia and China to exploit the vacuum.
Health implications add another layer of urgency. Climate science has unequivocally linked rising temperatures to increased disease vectors, such as mosquitoes carrying malaria and dengue fever spreading to new areas. Air pollution from deregulated industries contributes to respiratory illnesses, while heatwaves claim thousands of lives annually. By undermining research into these links, the administration risks public health disasters. Vulnerable populations—low-income communities, people of color, and the elderly—bear the brunt, exacerbating social inequalities. A recent study, though not endorsed by the current administration, projected that without aggressive mitigation, climate-related deaths in the U.S. could double by mid-century.
Beyond these tangible effects, there's a deeper philosophical assault on truth itself. In an era of misinformation, Trump's war on climate science normalizes the rejection of empirical evidence in favor of ideology. This sets a dangerous precedent, not just for environmental policy but for all areas of governance reliant on expertise, from public health to technology. Scientists are fleeing federal agencies in droves, seeking refuge in academia or the private sector, which depletes institutional knowledge. The chilling effect on research discourages young talent from entering the field, potentially stunting progress for generations.
Yet, amid this gloom, there are glimmers of hope. States like California and New York have vowed to uphold their own climate standards, creating a patchwork of resistance. International bodies, such as the United Nations Framework Convention on Climate Change, continue to forge ahead without full U.S. participation. Private sector innovators, from tech giants investing in carbon capture to philanthropists funding independent research, offer alternative pathways. Civil society, too, plays a crucial role—activists, journalists, and citizens must amplify scientific voices and hold leaders accountable.
In conclusion, Donald Trump's war on climate science is not a peripheral issue but a frontal assault on the foundations of a sustainable future. The implications—environmental degradation, economic upheaval, geopolitical strife, and human suffering—are indeed staggering. As we navigate this perilous path, the global community must rally to preserve the integrity of science and push for policies grounded in reality. Failure to do so risks bequeathing a ravaged planet to future generations. The time for complacency is over; the fight for our climate, and our shared humanity, demands action now.
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Read the Full The Economist Article at:
[ https://www.economist.com/by-invitation/2025/07/30/donald-trumps-war-on-climate-science-has-staggering-implications ]
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