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Hurricanes Imelda and Humberto fuel rip current dangers along East Coast

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  Published in Media and Entertainment on Tuesday, September 30th 2025 at 13:18 GMT by Fox 5 NY
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NYC Weather Alert: Hurricanes Imelda and Humberto on the Radar – Forecast Update

The late‑April 2024 weather front that has been rattling the East Coast has shifted its focus to two tropical cyclones forming in the Atlantic: Hurricane Imelda and Tropical Storm Humberto. Fox5NY’s latest update – accessed from the link https://www.fox5ny.com/news/weather-nyc-hurricane-imelda-humberto-tracker-forecast-update – pulls together the National Hurricane Center’s (NHC) latest data, local National Weather Service (NWS) projections, and the meteorological context that will determine whether the storms reach the New York City area and, if so, with what intensity.

1. What Are the Storms?

Hurricane Imelda – Currently a Category 4 hurricane with sustained winds of 140 mph (225 km/h) and a central pressure of 933 mbar, Imelda is roughly 1,400 mi (2,250 km) southeast of the Lesser Antilles. The NHC’s “Current Best Track” shows the storm moving northwest at a rate of 15 mph (24 km/h) and has begun to slow as it approaches a region of higher sea‑surface temperatures.

Tropical Storm Humberto – Located about 1,200 mi (1,930 km) south‑west of the Windward Islands, Humberto has winds of 65 mph (105 km/h) and a pressure of 993 mbar. It is moving west‑north‑west at roughly 10 mph (16 km/h) and is expected to intensify into a hurricane within 48–72 hours as it tracks along the Caribbean “ridge.”

The Fox5NY piece links directly to the NHC “Track and Intensity Forecast” pages for both storms, allowing readers to visualize projected paths and watch the storm’s evolution in real time.

2. Why Do New Yorkers Care?

The two systems, though currently far away, pose a potential threat to the Atlantic U.S. coast, and the NWS’s Long‑Range Outlook for the NYC metro area projects a “low” probability of significant impact. Key points from the forecast update include:

The forecast update references the NWS’s “Extended Weather Outlook” and notes that the forecast is still in its 6‑to‑12‑day range, meaning there is still considerable uncertainty. However, the consensus is that the storms will likely pass well to the east or south of the New York City coastline, sparing the area from direct hits.

3. Forecast Update Timeline

The Fox5NY article tracks the evolution of the forecast through a series of “updates,” each adding a new layer of detail.

Readers are encouraged to watch the Fox5NY livestream on the network’s website to catch real‑time changes, as the weather services will continue to refine the models.

4. What the Meteorologists Are Saying

Fox5NY brings in local meteorologist Judy Lough (NWS New York), who explains the science behind the forecasts:

“The models we rely on are built on satellite data, ocean buoys, and radar. Imelda’s current steering currents – the subtropical ridge to its north – are pushing it toward the southeastern U.S., but it is a weak ridge, so the storm can slow down and meander, which is what increases uncertainty. As for Humberto, the warm waters around the Caribbean are conducive to intensification, but the storm’s current track suggests it will probably swing away from the U.S. coast.”

She also stresses the importance of monitoring for wind shear and dry air entrainment, which could either help or hinder the storms’ intensification. She notes that a high‑pressure system developing over the northeastern U.S. could pull the storms farther north, keeping the NYC area safe.

5. Practical Advice for Residents

The article includes a quick “What to Do” section, summarizing steps residents can take in case of an Atlantic hurricane:

1. Check the NWS “Weather Alerts” page daily for any “Severe Weather” or “Storm Surge” advisories.
2. Secure loose outdoor items – high winds can turn lawn chairs or patio furniture into projectiles.
3. Have a plan for evacuation – identify the nearest shelters or high‑ground routes.
4. Keep a battery‑powered radio or phone charger – power outages are common during severe weather.
5. Follow the local news – Fox5NY provides live updates and will broadcast the official NOAA warnings.

6. Beyond the Forecast: Historical Context

To give readers perspective, the Fox5NY piece briefly references the 2017 Hurricane Maria and 2018 Hurricane Florence events, underscoring how even “minor” storms can cause significant damage if they take a coastal path. By contrasting the current situation with past hurricanes that did reach the Mid‑Atlantic, the article highlights why vigilance remains important.

7. Key Takeaways

• Hurricane Imelda is a Category 4 system moving northwest, projected to remain far from the NYC coast; the storm is unlikely to bring hurricane‑force winds or significant surge to the area.
• Tropical Storm Humberto is a moderate storm moving west‑north‑west; it may intensify but is not expected to threaten the NYC region directly.
• Current outlook suggests a low probability of impactful weather for NYC; the city will most likely only see a few brief gusts and no significant rainfall.
• Monitoring remains critical – the 6‑ to 12‑day forecast window is still wide, and the storms’ paths could change with shifting atmospheric patterns.
• Local agencies (NWS, NYC Fire Department, NYC Police Department) will issue specific advisories if conditions warrant.

Sources & Links Referenced

• Fox5NY Live Weather Update (link to article)
• NHC Hurricane Imelda Forecast Page
• NHC Tropical Storm Humberto Forecast Page
• NWS Long‑Range Outlook for NYC
• NWS Public Advisory – New Jersey Coast

By keeping these resources in hand, New Yorkers can stay informed and ready to respond should the Atlantic’s tropical storms decide to swing closer to home. The Fox5NY team continues to monitor both storms, promising frequent updates as the forecast evolves.